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As the regulatory and lending landscape shifts yet again, investors and homebuyers across Australia are asking, “What does the new borrowing environment really mean for me?” With fresh constraints introduced by the Australian Prudential Regulation Authority (APRA), now is the time to take stock of the true implications, not just for credit availability and investment lending but for long-term strategy, investment confidence, and housing affordability.
In this guest post, we unpack what’s changed, why it matters, and how smart buyers and investors should respond.
APRA has introduced a cap that applies only to authorised deposit-taking institutions (ADIs), limiting them to issuing no more than 20% of new owner-occupied and investment home loans at a debt-to-income ratio of six times income or higher, effective 1 February 2026. Non-bank lenders are not subject to this rule.
The purpose of this ADI-specific restriction is to contain systemic risk at a time when interest rates are easing, borrowing capacity is rising, and housing prices continue to accelerate.
APRA’s concern is not a deterioration in lending standards, but that high-DTI lending, particularly among investors, is increasing. Historically, rapid household debt growth during low-rate environments has created vulnerabilities that can build faster than regulators can respond. By intervening early, APRA aims to reinforce financial stability and strengthen borrower resilience across the cycle.
In the short term, the cap is unlikely to be restrictive for most ADIs. With current interest rates, owner-occupied DTIs sit around 5× income, and investment DTIs around 5.5×, meaning most lenders are well below the 20% cap for DTI ≥ 6.
Looking ahead 12–18 months, the key driver will be RBA interest rate movements. DTI is highly sensitive to rate cuts: every 1% reduction increases DTI by roughly 0.5×.
If the cash rate were reduced by a full percentage point, investor DTIs could approach the 6× threshold. However, given current inflation conditions and the still-tight labour market, such a substantial rate cut appears unlikely in the near term.
1) Investors
Investors generally have higher DTIs due to the after-tax benefits of negative gearing.
When a large portion of a borrower’s debt is tax-deductible “good debt,” their servicing DTI naturally rises.
Under today’s interest rate environment, an investor with an unencumbered owner-occupied home and 100% investment debt can already approach (or reach) a 6× DTI.
This group is most likely to be constrained first as ADIs approach the cap.
2) Self-employed borrowers
Self-employed clients often benefit from lower effective tax rates and flexible income structures.
Income derived from company retained profits or distributions can lift assessable servicing income, and therefore DTI.
Since ADIs already apply more conservative treatment to self-employed income, the DTI cap adds further pressure.
3) Borrowers with higher proportions of tax-free income
Tax-free or concessionally taxed income components can elevate DTI because they enter servicing calculators without tax deductions.
Examples include:
These borrowers may see their DTI rise faster, leading to earlier impact under the cap.
For most borrowers, borrowing power remains unchanged. APRA did not alter serviceability buffers or assessment formulas. The change affects:
In effect, the cap is a guardrail. Lenders can still approve high-DTI loans, but only up to a limited share of their portfolio.
The real impact is less about “how much can I borrow?” and more about “which lender will work for my scenario?”
Smart borrowers can stay competitive by adjusting their approach:
While this is very much Propertybuyer’s area of expertise, I can share a few observations from my perspective:
APRA’s move is fundamentally about sustainable stability, not suppressing demand. It adds guardrails to prevent overheating but does not materially change Australia’s long-term housing outlook.
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